Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Dogtooth, East Purcell, Purcells.
Dangerous avalanche conditions continue, with large, destructive natural avalanches remaining possible.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Numerous natural, persistent, and deep persistent slab avalanche activity on Wednesday. Wet loose and wet slab activity was widespread throughout the region.
Snowpack Summary
A mix of 5 to 7 cm snow, moist surfaces, and thin, breakable crusts, depending on freezing levels and timing of incoming cooler temperatures and precipitation. Below lies a complex snowpack with several weak layers:
An interface from early March, 30 to 50 cm deep, consists of a crust on sunny slopes and lower elevations, and surface hoar or facets in sheltered, shaded upper elevations.
Persistent weak layers from February and January, including crusts, facets, and surface hoar, are buried 50 to 100 cm deep and remain a concern.
The bottom of the snowpack is composed of large facets, which are showing signs of becoming reactive again, with some very large avalanches recently failing on this layer.
Weather Summary
Wednesday Night
Cloudy, 5 to 7 cm snow, 10 to 20 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 2200 m.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy, mixed rain and snow, 3 to 5 cm. 20 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 2000 m.
Friday
Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries, 4 to 6 cm. 10 to 20 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1500 to 2000 m.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy, scattered flurries 3 to 5 cm. 10 to 15 km/h southwest wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 1700 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Cornice failures could trigger large and destructive avalanches.
- Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain; avalanches may run surprisingly far.
Avalanche Problems
Persistent Slabs
Several buried weak layers exist throughout the snowpack. These layers will remain active as temperatures and freezing levels remain elevated.
Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 2 - 3
Deep Persistent Slabs
There is evidence that weak layers near the bottom of the snowpack are starting to wake up. Avalanches on these layers will be large, destructive and may run full path.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 2.5 - 4