Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 5th, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Persistent Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada Avalanche Canada, Avalanche Canada

Carefully assess conditions as you move through the mountains

We expect solar input and warming will increase avalanche activity. We have uncertainty in size of avalanches that may occur

Summary

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

Since the warm weekend, wet loose avalanches up to size 2 were observed.

No persistent slab avalanche activity has been observed since over a week ago in the Manning area.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 20 cm of new snow has fallen over a crust on all aspects and elevations. Beneath, 10 to 20 cm of snow is sandwiched between the surface and another crust.

The snow surface will likely become moist during the day on all aspects and elevations except for high north facing slopes.

A weak layer of facets and/or surface hoar is buried 50 to 120 cm deep. This layer has not produced avalanche activity for over a week but snowpack test results continued to show results, particularly in the Manning area.

A crust from December, buried 1 to 2 m deep, has been observed to be breaking down.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy. 10 to 20 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C, potential for inversion with colder temperatures at valley bottom.

Thursday

Mostly Sunny. 15 to 30 km/h north ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising to 1900 m.

Friday

Mix of sun and cloud. 20 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy with up to 5 mm of mixed precipitation. 50 to 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising to 2000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be careful as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation and sun exposure.
  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wind slabs could become more sensitive to rider triggering throughout the day due to solar input.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Over a week ago, large avalanches were observed on a buried weak layer. This layer continues to produce results in snowpack tests, indicating a lingering possibility of triggering.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Wet loose avalanches will increase in likelihood throughout the day with rising freezing level and solar input. These avalanches are unlikely on high north facing terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Mar 6th, 2025 4:00PM

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