Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 1st, 2021 8:00AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Storm Slabs.

Kate Ryan,

Email

Windy day ahead!

Keep a close eye on snow transport today and assess for building wind slabs as the day progresses. 

Summary

Weather Forecast

A cold front across central BC will gradually move southward today

Today: Mainly cloudy with a trace of snow. Freezing level 1400m. Wind SW 30 km/h gusting to 90!

Tonight: Cloudy with scattered flurries. Accumulation: 5 cm. Freezing level: 900m. Wind SW 30 km/h gusting to 85.

Tuesday:  Cloudy with sunny periods and a trace of snow. Wind SW 20-30 km/h.

Snowpack Summary

More snow has fallen on the west end of the park than east. Since Wednesday, up to 70cm has been redistributed by sustained moderate S'ly wind. The Feb 14 drought interface is down ~1m in sheltered areas; this interface exists as a wind crust in exposed areas near the Pass, and buried windslabs, facets, or a thin suncrust as you move East or West.

Avalanche Summary

Yesterday, one notable size 2.5 avalanche was observed that occurred from a steep solar feature in the alpine. Saturday, several solar induced natural avalanches occurred from steep south aspects in the alpine to size 2.5, as well as a smaller wind-induced cycle from steep northerly aspects to size 2.0.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

With lots of new snow available for transport, expect fresh windslab development in lee features and increased cornice growth.

  • Watch for shooting cracks or stiffer feeling snow. Avoid areas that appear wind loaded.
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Up to 70 cm of new snow this week may be more prone to slab formation with warming temperatures today. 

  • Watch for signs of slab formation, such as whumpfing and shooting cracks.
  • If triggered the storm slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Mar 2nd, 2021 8:00AM