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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 25th, 2017–Jan 26th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Banff Yoho Kootenay.

Sometimes the snowpack is just so weak and slow to change, that you need to continually resist the temptation to step-out into more exciting terrain. This is one of those winters where patience is the most important skill you can have.

Weather Forecast

There is no new snow in the near-term weather forecast, as a ridge of high pressure remains stationary over the central rockies. Some cloud cover may appear, but no precipitation is expected and temperatures on Thursday will range from -5 to -10 and light NW winds.

Snowpack Summary

In many areas, the surface snow remain unaffected by wind and overlies a generally weak and facetted mid-pack and base - particularly in the Lake Louise area and on the east side of Hwy 93 north. Closer to the divide, the deeper snowpacks are stronger and more supportive. Surface hoar up to 10mm continues to grow on the snow surface.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported today in this region, but we did see a 24-hr old size 2.5 on Mt. Ogden in Little Yoho region (2600 m). Natural avalanche activity has abated, but we continue to feel that human triggering is likely.

Confidence

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.