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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 17th, 2013–Jan 18th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Little Yoho.

Pay attention to localized wind-loading. Where present, it could be rapidly overloading weak layers. Dig into the snowpack and determine whether you want to commit to steeper features.

Weather Forecast

Temperatures are forecasted to stay warm over the next couple of days, with freezing levels rising to 1600m. Thankfully the winds should drop to 30-50km/h from the W, which is a welcome change from the honkin' 60-100km/h! We may see a trace of snow tonight/tomorrow. The warmth and the winds remain the key factor to watch.

Snowpack Summary

30 to 50cm of snow sit over the Jan 6th interface.  In several locations in Kootenay and some areas near Sunshine, the Jan 6 interface is a well preserved surface hoar (3 to 5mm in size). Tests show easy sudden planar shears. It's worth digging down to it in a few locations to check if it's present. Alpine features have been blasted by recent wind.

Avalanche Summary

During the wind event over the past few days, several size 1.5 - 2 avalanches have been noted in the alpine. One natural triggered size 2 avalanche near Bow Summit in an open wind-effected lee feature at tree-line. We may see continued sporadic small avalanches tomorrow with strong winds forecasted, although most of the snow has been moved already.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.