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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 5th, 2019–Jan 6th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

South Columbia.

Human triggered avalanches are the primary concern Sunday. The best and safest riding will be found in the trees on slopes that have soft snow without any slab properties. Stay relatively conservative as the snowpack continues to adjust.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Moderate onshore flow will continue Sunday across the province maintaining flurry activity and bringing mostly cloudy conditions with a few sunny breaks. SATURDAY NIGHT: Freezing level holding near valley bottom, light southerly wind at most elevations with strong southerly wind at ridgetop, 1 to 5 cm of snow possible.SUNDAY: Overcast, freezing level holding around 700 m, light southerly breeze at most elevations with strong south/southwest wind at ridgetop, 3 to 10 cm of snow possible.MONDAY: Broken cloud cover, freezing level at valley bottom, light west/northwest wind with moderate gusts at ridgetop, trace of snow possible.TUESDAY: A few clouds at dawn with cloud cover steadily increasing through the day, freezing level at valley bottom, light variable wind for most of the day at all elevations, trace of snow possible.

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday and Friday a widespread natural avalanche cycle produced avalanches to size 2.5 on all aspects above 1000 m with crowns averaging 20 to 60 cm in depth. Control work produced avalanches to size 2.5 on all aspects above 1400 m. Three different avalanches to size 1.5 were accidentally triggered by skiers on north facing terrain between 2000 and 2250 m. On Friday a natural cornice failure impacted a northeast/east facing slope at 2300 m initiating a size 3 avalanche.On Wednesday avalanche activity was limited to dry loose avalanches in steep terrain. The exception was a report from the RMR backcountry where a group triggered a size 2.5 avalanche on a steep south/southeast facing terrain feature immediately lee of ridgecrest at approximately 2250 m. A ski was lost, but everyone made it out okay. Photos and additional details can be found here.On December 31st a notable avalanche occurred just north of the region. The large (size 3) persistent slab release was skier triggered below ridgecrest on a southwest aspect in the Connaught Creek area in Glacier National Park. Photo available here.

Snowpack Summary

Thursday and Friday's storm produced 30 to 60 cm of new snow accompanied by moderate to strong wind out of the south. A 2 mm "zipper" (melt/freeze/mist) crust under the new snow has been reported in the mountains surrounding Revelstoke. Underneath the most recent storm snow is the 30 to 40 cm of snow that fell last weekend. There are a few reports of spotty surface hoar underneath all of this new snow, but for the most part the storm snow does not sit on any kind of persistent weak layer and is expected to rapidly settle this weekend as as precipitation slows and temperatures cool. An aspect dependant mix of facets, surface hoar, and sun crust buried in mid-December, now 80 to 140 cm below the surface, is considered dormant at this time.The lower snowpack is generally strong and settled, with a crust that formed in late October near the bottom of the snowpack.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.