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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 9th, 2019–Jan 10th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Good skiing can be found on moderate  angle slopes.  This is not the time to adventure into the steep lines.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Up to 8cm of snow is forecast to fall by Wednesday afternoon.  The winds are expected to be strong for Thursday out of the West and moderating for Friday.  Alpine temperatures for Thursday and Friday will be around -6c with a warming trend on Saturday.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed today.

Snowpack Summary

Strong SW winds today has moved the snow around a bunch in the alpine and tree line today.  Expect some wind slabs starting at tree line in lee features and getting more dense as you get into the alpine.  The December 30 facet layer which is down about 50cm is still on our radar as it has produced clean sheers earlier in the week.  The bottom half of the snowpack is weak and made up of facets. Any avalanches that happen have a chance of stepping down to ground because of these basal facets.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.