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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 31st, 2018–Jan 3rd, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

Weather Forecast

A mix of sun and cloud for Mon / Tues with 5- 10 mm of preicipitation arriving on Thurs. Temperatures will remain cold for the next 24 hours but freezing level will begin to rise near the end of the week.

Snowpack Summary

20cm of low density storm snowin the last 24h.Watch for Windslab development Thur/ Fri The snowpack remains variable with depths ranging from 20 to 160cm along the divide. The middle of the snowpack appears to be gaining strength in deeper areas, though thin areas remain weak.

Avalanche Summary

One natural size 1.5 avalanche was observed off Rowe peak in the Cameron Valley. (SW asp @ 2200m)

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Thursday

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.