Avalanche forecast

Central Sierra Nevada

Sierra Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Alpine
1 · Low
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 7 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

On a regional scale, LOW avalanche danger exists for all elevations. Small, isolated areas of unstable snow from either wind drifted slabs or warming wet snow may or may not exist today. Don't let the danger rating lull you into complacency.

Avalanche problems

  • Cornices

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1

    Small, isolated unstable wind slabs are unlikely but not impossible today in near treeline and above treeline terrain. If you encounter a smooth looking, not icy area near treeline or above treeline, you may have found the isolated, potentially unstable wind slab. Express some uncertainty and move around it with caution.

    Another round of warming and snow surface melt is expected today on southerly aspects. The expected amount of wet snow formation is unlikely to create much in the way of a loose wet avalanche problem. Expect more warming and wet snow formation around exposed rocks, especially if wind protected. If you encounter a few inches or more of surface wet snow, manage for a loose wet avalanche problem.

    If venturing into couloirs, cliff areas, or other complex terrain where snowpack variability is usually greater, expect a greater likelihood of finding that isolated area of unstable snow. In this type of terrain, expect that the consequences of an otherwise tiny and inconsequential avalanche will be magnified by the rocks and cliffs below you. Today's danger rating is the call to lull your brain into complacency. Avoid that by using the tactics of Normal Caution while in or below avalanche terrain, just as if the danger rating were higher in order to minimize exposure and consequences from an unexpected human triggered avalanche.

Avalanche Discussion

* No avalanches have been reported for over a week. Generally stable snowpack conditions have been reported throughout the forecast area.

* Periods of blowing snow have been ongoing for over a week from moderate to gale force NE to E and SW to W ridgetop winds. For the most part, the snow available to drift and deposit as unstable wind slabs is extremely limited, especially where capped by rain crust below 9,000'. Minimal new wind slab formation has occurred in recent days.

* Rain to about 9,000' on Jan 1 left behind a breakable to supportable crust on all aspects. Melt-freeze on SE-S-SW aspects over the past two days has thickened this crust.

Regions covered