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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 2nd, 2019–Mar 3rd, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Cold temps continue...  When snow finally does come, it will be falling on a widespread weak snowpack.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Slightly warmer temps on Sunday but still cold with a lack of wind.  Ensure you are on a solar aspect if you head outside...

Avalanche Summary

Only isolated sluffing from steep terrain up to sz 1 on solar aspects later in the day.  There was also a MIN regading a Sa sz 1.5 on Mt Indefatiagable on Friday that involved the upper snowpack running far and fast on top of an underlying suncrust.  Be aware of fast sluffing in steep terrain as you ski.

Snowpack Summary

Continued cold temps (-40C Saturday morning) are rotting out the snowpack at lower elevations.  Below 2000m in many areas its not supportive at all.  At treeline and above isolated pockets of windslabs should be expected along ridgelines and in crossloaded features.  These slabs are 10-20cm thick and reactive to skier triggering.  The do not extend far downslope at this time but if winds increase we can expect these slabs to become more specific to widespread.  The bit of heat we are seeing is triggering loose dry slides on solar aspects later in teh day.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.