Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 21st, 2020 10:00AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Northwest Avalanche Center NWAC, Northwest Avalanche Center

Email

Stormy conditions in some locations could make it difficult to assess and manage avalanche problems Wednesday. Choose routes with plenty of options to avoid steep open slopes and adjust to the dynamic weather conditions.

Summary

Discussion

This weather pattern appears to favor the volcanoes with weather forecasts predicting the highest precipitation in those areas. However, this is a very dynamic weather system with lots of uncertainty. Choose travel plans with options to easily adapt to changing conditions during the day. Some areas may receive less new snow and consequently could experience lower avalanche danger.

Snowpack Discussion

New Regional Synopsis coming soon. We update the Regional Synopsis every Thursday at 6 pm.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Steer around open slopes greater than 35 degrees Wednesday as stormy conditions form new and potentially reactive slabs. Avalanche danger should peak during periods of intense snowfall and blowing snow. Use small slope tests and hand pits to investigate the storm snow and how it bonds to the recent crust. We believe avalanche concerns should be limited to the new snow and the crust formed over the MLK weekend. 

At lower elevations, you could encounter rain which may lead to wet surface snow conditions. Look for and avoid slopes where you find new rollerballs or see fresh fan-shaped avalanche debris.

Release of a soft cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within the storm snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slab problems typically last between a few hours and few days. Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

 

You can reduce your risk from Storm Slabs by waiting a day or two after a storm before venturing into steep terrain. Storm slabs are most dangerous on slopes with terrain traps, such as timber, gullies, over cliffs, or terrain features that make it difficult for a rider to escape off the side.

 

Storm slabs usually stabilize within a few days, and release at or below the trigger point. They exist throughout the terrain, and can be avoided by waiting for the storm snow to stabilize.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 1

Valid until: Jan 22nd, 2020 10:00AM