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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 17th, 2017–Mar 18th, 2017

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Banff Yoho Kootenay.

Another storm on the way which will keep the danger ratings elevated through the weekend. Avoid avalanche terrain.

Weather Forecast

Another pulse of snow coming through Saturday although forecast amounts have shrunk somewhat.  Expect 20 to 30cm with moderate to strong alpine winds and freezing levels to 2000m.  This means rain will fall at lower elevations.  On Sunday precipitation will taper off with moderate alpine winds and temperatures will drop off to -15 to 18C. 

Snowpack Summary

30-60cm of recent storm snow and wind have built significant load over a fundamentally weak snowpack. The mix of previous rain, warm temperatures, and this new snow is overloading buried storm and windslabs, as well as the weak basal facet layers. Cooling Friday helped curb natural activity, but only slightly

Avalanche Summary

A flight up Hwy. 93N today showed the extent of the avalanche carnage up to size 4 on all aspects and elevations. Some fracture lines are over 1km wide. Explosive control at the ski hills and on Hwy 93 South produced large results up to size 3.5 stepping down to the deep Dec. facets or the ground showing it is still extremely sensitive out there.

Confidence

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.