Avalanche forecast

Moab

Utah Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

  • Alpine
  • Treeline
  • Below treeline
Out of date — this forecast expired 2 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

The overall danger is LOW and generally stable snow conditions exist. Small avalanches involving recent deposits of wind drifted snow are possible on isolated terrain features.

Special Announcement

Check out the latest edition of the UAC podcast with Moab forecaster Dave Garcia where he talks about the challenges of forecasting for our remote and isolated range with limited information.

Urgent battery replacement required for anyone who received batteries from one of our participating "Batteries for Beacons" shops. Please review the "Batteries for Beacons" replacement notice on our blog. Batteries distributed through our "Batteries for Beacons" program this year have shown to be inadequate length.

Geyser Pass Road: Surface is mainly snowpacked and icy above and bare dirt down low. AWD with good tires recommended.

Grooming Conditions: Gavin and Sam Van Wetter teamed up and groomed all trails on Wednesday. Mark Sevenoff sampled conditions up to Geyser Pass yesterday and said they were great. Thanks guys!

Recent Activity

Snow and Weather

6 A.M. Snow and Weather Data

24 Hour Snow: 0" 72 Hour Snow: 0" Season Total Snow: 63" Depth at Gold Basin: 29"

Winds on Pre-Laurel Peak: NW 5-10 Temp: 18° F Percent of Normal (SWE): 72%

Weather

After a pretty good run, northerly winds began decreasing yesterday afternoon and are currently mostly light. Today will be dry and mild with high temperatures in the upper 30's. A warm and moist atmospheric river (AR) is poised to impact northern Utah and Colorado this weekend. As has been typical of the pattern this season, we're going to miss out on the action but we will see some clouds and more importantly, very warm temperatures by Sunday. Down the pipe, a stronger AR could push further south later next week. It's a long way out but one can only hope.

General Conditions

Northerly winds have been whipping around loose surface snow near treeline and our local snowcat driver extraordinaire, Gavin Harrison, reported some isolated sensitive drifts on easterly aspects yesterday. Ryan Huels reported similar activity the day before. Check out his observation here. I don't think fresh drifts will be too problematic, but pay attention to areas that show signs of recent wind loading. Look for smooth, rounded pillows on the leeward sides of terrain features. Cracking is a sign of instability. Above treeline the surface is very hard and wind blasted or scoured down to the rocks.

The overall snowpack is weak in many places, especially on shady slopes below treeline where small, loose dry avalanches are possible on very steep slopes. This weak snow is forming a tenuous base, and it won't take much new snow for us to start seeing avalanches.

This photo by Ryan Huels illustrates why any problems you might find are near treeline rather than above where slopes are scoured or wind hardened.

Snowpack and Weather Data

Snowpack Observations

Gold Basin Storm Stake (10,000')

Gold Basin SNOTEL site (10,000')

SNOTEL site near Geyser Pass Winter Trailhead (9600')

Wind Station on Pre-Laurel Peak (11,400')

NWS forecast for the La Sal Mountains.

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General Announcements

This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

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