Avalanche forecast

West Slopes Central

Northwest Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Sat
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 5 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Generally low avalanche danger exists, aside from upper elevation terrain where you might still find a buried weak layer on east, north, and west aspects. In all areas, expect to find variable hard snow surfaces.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1.5–2.5

    The potential to trigger an avalanche in the crust-facet layering from late January remains. Most avalanches were reported in the West North Zone, however a similar snow structure is present in the West Central Zone. Ten days have passed since a human triggered avalanche, but reports of natural avalanches continue to slowly trickle in. Here is what we know: 

    • The layers are most prevalent on shady aspects above 5400 feet in elevation.  
    • There is around 2  feet of new snow above the weak layer.
    • Observed avalanche sizes are ~D2.
    • Snowpack tests produce inconsistent results, sometimes even in the same snowpit.
    • Many steep slopes where riders got out on with no results saw nearby slopes or another location on that slope avalanche on the weak layer. 

    Although the likelihood of triggering one of these avalanches is low, the consequences could be high if you are in a bad spot in the terrain. Remember, persistent slab avalanches can be triggered from low on the slope or remotely and factor in the consequences of triggering a large avalanche on the slope in question.

    (2/12/2022)

    A natural avalanche suspected of failing in January 30th crust-facet layers. Estimated date of occurrence was around a week ago. 

    Photo: Graham Clark 

Avalanche Discussion

Wednesday night’s chance of snowfall didn’t really eventuate. Surfaces remain mostly firm, bumpy, and icy. There’s a small chance you could find shallow wind slabs at upper elevations along ridgelines. If you’re traveling in these areas pay attention to softer snow features and slablike qualities that may present.

A storm arrives Saturday afternoon and will probably bring over 6 inches of snow to the zone. Conditions will change quickly over the weekend, shifting us back to a winter mindset for the coming week.

Regions covered