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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 25th, 2019–Jan 26th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Rising freezing levels and wet flurries on the weekend will increase the hazard. Not expecting this to be a widespread issue through the region but you need to stay aware to changing conditions locally, especially over head!

Weather Forecast

Cloudy with sunny periods. Precipitation: Nil. Alpine temperature: High -4 °C. Ridge wind west: 20 km/h. Freezing level: 1700 metres. A detailed mountain weather forecast is available from Avalanche Canada.

Snowpack Summary

Warming in the region Saturday will create isolated moist surface snow, snowballing, and likely wet loose slides. Wind effect well pronounced in the alpine and exposed TL areas. 10cm of low density snow overlies a mix of old facets and/or surface hoar and sun crust. A strong mid-pack sits over a deep persistent weaknesses of facets and depth-hoar.

Avalanche Summary

Older (-72hrs) size 1.5 triggered by a cornice in the Parkers Ridge Area from steep rocky terrain. Main area of concern is where overhead cornices threaten unevenly distributed snowpack areas, increasing the probability of triggering a deep weakness. Report, and read about riding conditions on Avalanche Canada's Mountain Information Network.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Saturday

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.