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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 29th, 2019–Mar 30th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Early starts are key at this time of year!  Intense solar radiation will cause avalanche danger to rise throughout the day especially on solar aspects so plan to avoid these areas when conditions warm up.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

A mainly clear night is forecast on Friday with freezing levels dropping down to the road level.  Clear weather is again forecast on Saturday with freezing levels forecast around 2400m.  Due to clear weather and intense solar radiation, it is likely that solar aspects and lower elevations will see a decrease in stability throughout the day on Saturday.  Pay attention to whats overhead and in the sun, as well as early starts are critical.

Avalanche Summary

A few new loose wet slides up to sz 1 were observed in steep solar terrain on Friday.  No new slab activity was noted.

Snowpack Summary

10-20cm of recent snow is settling under the influence of the warmer temps.  Isolated windslabs are being found in alpine areas along ridgelines with some cracking noted.  Moist snow was found up to 3000m on Friday with dry snow still on north aspects down to treeline.  Stability is changing throughout the day due to temps, quality of freeze and aspect.  As conditions warm up, stability will decrease.  Pay close attention to cloud cover and aspect you are travelling on or under throughout your trip.  Quality of freeze is also a big factor so be sure to access the online weather stations to aid in your trip planning.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.