Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Regions
Banff Yoho Kootenay.
Watch for solar heating to weaken the snowpack Sunday with a rise in the freezing levels to follow. Surface slabs and sluffs have been serious enough in the last several days... there is significant uncertainty as to how deeper weak layers will react
Weather Forecast
Despite a stiff breeze and thin cloud Saturday, solar heating was strong. Sunday will dawn clear and winds will likely diminish: expect a significant solar shock to the snowpack. This begins a significant warming trend that will bring freezing levels to 3000m later in the week. Both size and likelihood of avalanches are expected to increase.
Snowpack Summary
15- 50cm has accumulated since March 7. Modertate to strong SW-W winds have redistributed this snow treeline and above. This snow sits over previous widespread wind effect in the alpine, suncrusts on steep S aspects and 30-50cm of sugary facets everywhere else. While a tough midpack exists in thicker areas, facets to ground are seen in many others.
Avalanche Summary
Several Natural (eg 1, 2) and human triggered eg (1,2) slabs have been seen over the last two days. South aspects have been the most active: increased sensitivity due to solar heating, buried crusts, and slab formation due to rapid settlement are all likely factors here. Loose wet activity also started up at around 15:00 as solar heating peaked.
Confidence
Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Sunday
Problems
Wind Slabs
Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.
Loose Dry
Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.
Loose Wet
Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.