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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 28th, 2012–Feb 29th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Cariboos.

Check out the Forecaster's Blog below for some thoughts on managing the current tricky conditions.

Confidence

Fair - Due to variable snowpack conditions

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: Cloud and flurries. Freezing level 600m. Light to moderate southerly winds.Thursday: Sun, cloud and flurries. Light to moderate north-westerlies. Freezing level valley bottom.Friday: Cloudy, with about 5cm snow. Strong westerlies. Freezing level valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

An avalanche cycle which began on Wednesday has slowed slightly with time, but conditions remain touchy with natural, human and remotely-triggered avalanches in the size 1.5-3 range reported most days. These are running on storm snow weaknesses or on buried weak layers in the upper snowpack. As snowfall and wind-loading ease over the next few days, expect natural avalanches to decrease, but tricky and touchy conditions for human-triggering to continue.

Snowpack Summary

60-140cm recent storm snow is settling above the Feb 16. surface hoar layer and the early Feb. interface. The early Feb. interface consists of surface hoar (observed into the alpine, but most commonly found at and below treeline) and/or a crust (found on solar aspects, and on all aspects below about 1600m). These weaknesses are still very touchy in certain locations and can be triggered remotely or by light loads. Old and new wind slabs, which exist on a variety of slopes, could step down to a persistent weakness and create a surprisingly large avalanche. Large cornices loom in some areas. Shallow snowpack areas may still harbour basal facets.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.