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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 2nd, 2025–Jan 3rd, 2025
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Flurries are starting to add up and slowly change the snowpack. So far new snow has been relatively untouched by wind, but this could change quickly if the winds shift, or pick up speed. Enjoy the travel, but watch for changes.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Nothing was seen today. Visibility was poor.

Snowpack Summary

Our flurries have started to add up. At Burstall Pass today there was about 10cm from the past day or two. There was also some older snow that made it feel like there is 20-30cm of soft snow on the surface. Keep in mind Burstall Pass is somewhat of a local anomaly for depth and quality of snow, but its encouraging to see snow accumulate none the less. Winds have just touched the new snow and have left soft windslabs in immediate lee areas, but they taper quickly. The deeper, more concerning layers are there, but becoming harder to find. The Dec 7th crust was barely visible today, and the deeper Oct crust was there, but not reactive. Expect that to be different from drainage to drainage. Dig down and reacquaint yourself with the snow if you're heading into uncharted terrain.

Weather Summary

Feels like winter out there! Tomorrow will once again see light winds from the west. Temperatures will settle to -14 overnight and rise to -9 for tomorrow afternoon. Skies will remain cloudy with continued flurries. We can expect a few centimeters to add up by tomorrow afternoon.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Pay attention to the wind; once it starts to blow, sensitive wind slabs are likely to form.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

New snow is gradually adding up. Expect new windslabs in immediate lee areas. These soft slabs are subtle, difficult to detect and easy to underestimate. Caution in unsupported terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

If triggered the surface wind slabs may step down to this layer and involve the entire winters snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5