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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 13th, 2023–Dec 15th, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

We are likely to see a 5-10cm of new snow over the next 24 hours with moderate westerly winds. Be cautious for windslabs in alpine and treeline areas.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A few small windslabs up to size 1 were observed in steeper alpine areas. These occurred on lee (N and E) aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Alpine terrain looks like a typical early December winter with many ridges blown free of snow and lee features containing windslabs. Treeline areas are much the same although some areas that are more protected have been spared from the recent strong westerly winds. Up to treeline expect to encounter a rain crust down 30-50cm that formed in an early December storm. So far failures on this crust have been few, but as it develops we expect this layer to become a common bed surface for avalanches. A surface hoar layer is also found up to treeline beneath this crust that was producing moderate results in snowpack tests. Deeper in the snowpack a weak basal layer persists that was a thin melt freeze crust in some areas, or just weak basal facets and depth hoar. Thin areas are still common places to trigger these windslabs which are likely to propagate across a feature so keep this in mind as you travel.

Be curious and dig into the snowpack! Share your observations on the MIN.

Weather Summary

A small front is expected to cross the region thursday with 5-10cm cm of snow fall expected. Winds will will be moderate out of the SW with temperatures around -2C as a daytime high.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Approach lee and cross-loaded slopes with caution.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs are present in almost all lee and cross-loaded features. Human triggering is still a concern.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3

Persistent Slabs

Be mindful of the weak layers towards the base of the snowpack. In specific lee and cross-loaded features, this layer could be triggered.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3