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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 15th, 2016–Jan 16th, 2016
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Kananaskis.

Not a lot of change out there these days. It feels like a waiting game for the next storm. Hopefully it will be sooner rather than later.

Confidence

High

Weather Forecast

Moderate winds with steady temperatures overnight. The expected overnight low is -15 in the alpine. Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy with occasional flurries blowing through. Alpine temperatures will hit -9 °C. Winds will taper throughout the day with an average of 15km/hr at 2500m. SW direction.

Avalanche Summary

1 loose dry was noted today on Tent ridge. Visibility was poor, but it seemed to start near the ridge and propagate for most of the path. Small slabs were undercut as it went, adding to the mass. Sz2, E aspect and ran to top of the runout.

Snowpack Summary

Today was another day of little overall change. Below treeline has 70-80 cm's of facets that offer little support to a person's weight. Treeline is better with a midpack that still has some structure and support to it. Deeper snow pack areas have a stronger midpack. The alpine has had some light flurries blow through, but not a significant source of load. The winds today were slightly less powerful than yesterday and as such, have kept the windslab problem flat lined.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Dry

These "facalanches" continue to run out of steep terrain. So far most of the action has been in the alpine, however we may start to see this problem creep down to treeline as the drought continues. 
Be very cautious with gully features.>Be cautious of sluffing in steep terrain.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Wind Slabs

The wind slab problem is concentrated to ridges and immediate lee terrain. Use caution around lee features in the alpine.
Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Choose well supported terrain without convexities.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3