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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 29th, 2017–Dec 30th, 2017
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Glacier.

With the addition of last night's new snow, careful evaluation of the December 15 surface hoar layer should be a part of your decision making process.

Weather Forecast

Cloudy with sunny periods as last night's storm exits the province. A slight alpine temperature inversion is in place, although temps will remain cold with an alpine high of -13. Ridge winds will be light from the east. The next round of precipitation arrives this evening with 8cm forecast for tonight with cold temps and periods of strong winds.

Snowpack Summary

20cm of new snow fell overnight with relatively light winds and cold temperatures. An isolated surface hoar/ facet layer (December 27) is buried 20cm. The Dec 15 surface hoar layer, which is widespread at treeline, is buried 60cm. Cold temperatures have hindered slab development in the upper snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed yesterday.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Loose Dry

With 20cm of new cold dry powder, natural and human triggered avalanches are expected in steep terrain. It is possible for small loose avalanches to trigger deeper instabilities, especially near ridge lines or where Dec 15 surface hoar is preserved.
Avoid travelling on ledges and cliffs where sluffing may have severe consequences.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

The December 15 surface hoar layer is widespread around treeline and buried 60cm. Cold temps have kept the slab from gaining cohesion, but it may be reactive on steep unsupported and/or wind affected terrain.
Watch for signs of slab formation, such as whumpfing and shooting cracks.Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3