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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 8th, 2012–Mar 9th, 2012

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Natural avalanche cycle up to size 3.0 continues. Wind loading was dramatic due to westerly winds at 140km/h at ridgetop. Moist snow on solar aspects this afternoon. Prime conditions exist for human triggering.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Light snowfall expected to begin late Friday morning. Freezing levels will climb to 1800m. Extreme wind speeds of 140km/h expected out of the west.

Avalanche Summary

Several new natural avalanches in alpine terrain up to size 3.0, mostly on N, E and SE aspects, and most running full path. Below treeline today two size 1.0 skier controlled avalanches were cut out by forecasters. These small slabs failed on the buried surface hoar down 50cm and occurred on N aspects at 1800m.

Snowpack Summary

Snowpack is settling rapidly with the warm temperatures. Solar radiation creating moist snow on solar aspects in the afternoon. Several large whumpfs felt today in moderate terrain. Two small skier controlled avalanches occurred in steep terrain on N aspect failing down 50cm on the Valentines surface hoar. Intense snow transport is occurring in the alpine due to persistent extreme winds out of the west.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.