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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 29th, 2015–Jan 30th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

When the sun is out it packs a punch so watch for decreases in stability on steep solar aspects.  New surface hoar is growing overlying a crust along the divide.  Another soon to be new problem.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Freezing levels and temperatures are both forecast to drop over the next few days.  There isnt much of new snow in the 

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity was observed today but there is evidence of a widespread cycle over this past week on all aspects at treeline and into the Alpine.  Heat was the suspected trigger in many cases.

Snowpack Summary

Wide wide wide widespread wind affect in Alpine terrain and into treeline areas.  A thin temperature crust can be found on the surface throughout the region on all aspects up to 2400m and on solar aspects up to 2900m.  At a profile on Thursday near Three Isle lake we found the 0116SH down 25cm and coming out CTM(11)(SP) and a more moderate RP result on the 1213CR down 50cm.  Windward slopes are as stripped as I've ever seen them personally and below treeline, the snowpack is a mixture of crusts and breakable facets.  Overall, not a pretty picture but thats just honest. 

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.