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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 14th, 2016–Dec 15th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Intense ridge top transport occurred Tuesday in the alpine. The Northwesterly wind will likely produce some new windslabs particularly on Southerly aspects.

Weather Forecast

Thursday and Friday temperatures will hover between -20 to -30 with light North winds and clear skies. No precipitation expected for sometime. It might start to warm up on Sunday.

Snowpack Summary

Tuesday's moderate Northwest winds redistributed snow with soft slab formation possible on lee features. There was intense ridge top transport from the North in the alpine on Tuesday. Cold temps are promoting facetting throughout the snowpack. Nov12 crust down 45 to 90cm and found between 2100-2600m on all aspects.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new noted on Wednesday's road patrol. Visibility was good. Tuesday numerous loose dry avalanches on Westerly aspects up to Size 2 in Alpine terrain along the Icefields Parkway. One remotely triggered slab avalanche size1.5 was reported from the Boundary Glacier area on Monday, 2400m steep East facing planar slope.

Confidence

Wind effect is extremely variable

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.