Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Dec 15 – 16, 2019Parks Canada
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Archived · expired 7 years ago

Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Continued mild temps for the next couple days, Tuesday looks promising for a much needed refresh.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1–2.5

    Isolated to very specific sheltered locations at treeline.

  • Loose Dry

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1–2

    Specific to steep terrain. Ice climbers should pay particular attention to this as entrenched loose snow may have the volume to knock climbers off their stance. Solar input has the potential to trigger this problem.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    Previous wind slabs may be sitting over a basal weakness

Avalanche Summary

A road trip to Saskatchewan crossing today found no new avalanches. Friday's field trip to Pyramid mountain area noted nothing new and no signs of instability and a consolidated snowpack. Thursday's field trip to Churchill slide path noted no new naturals.

Confidence

Track of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

Sunday- Will be a mix of sun and cloud, Low -18 High -15 Light westerly winds No new snow

Monday- Mix sun and cloud Low -18 high -13 Trace amounts of precip

Tuesday- Flurries High -9 Low -13 with 7cm accumulation accompanied by Light south westerly winds

For more details: Mountain Weather Forecast

Snowpack Summary

The top 30cm remains unconsolidated except where exposed to wind where soft slabs have been formed. The snow depth is variable at all elevations. There is a crust/facet layer distributed through the region in the mid-pack with mixed reactivity and a weak basal facet/depth hoar layer at the base of the pack.

Regions covered