Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Apr 4th, 2017 4:25PM
The alpine rating is Deep Persistent Slabs and Cornices.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeHazard is rated Low in the morning below tree-line. It may rise to Considerable in the afternoon with rising freezing levels and temperatures, especially if there is any sun affect.
Summary
Weather Forecast
Another good freeze tonight. Light flurries and showers begin tomorrow with freezing levels rising to 2100 m. They will remain there through Wednesday and Thursday night as the front passes through the region. In the alpine, expect 5-10 cm on Thursday and 5 cm Friday and rain below treeline. Local amounts may vary across the region.
Snowpack Summary
On shaded aspects or in the high alpine, up to 20 cm of low density snow sits over a firm 100 cm+ slab resting over weak basal facets at all elevations. Tests show sudden collapse results in these facets. A melts freeze crust is widespread below treeline & steep solar aspects at treeline & above. Windslabs are specific to immediate alpine lees.
Avalanche Summary
A little cooler today overall and no new avalanches were observed.
Confidence
Problems
Deep Persistent Slabs
The snowpack throughout the region has a weak base and remains suspect. Approach all avalanche terrain with suspicion and exercise conservative route choices. This problem will persist for the foreseeable future.
Be wary of slopes that did not previously avalanche.Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Cornices
Cornices are big and we are getting regular reports of cornices failing. A large cornice fall could trigger a bigger avalanche on the slope below.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Apr 5th, 2017 4:00PM