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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 26th, 2013–Jan 27th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Make conservative terrain choices today. As you increase your exposure to avalanche terrain, do it gradually as you gather information.

Weather Forecast

Flurries are forecast for today with freezing levels rising to 900m.  Ridge top winds will be light from the west and alpine temps around -6.  Light snow is expected to continue Sunday with slightly cooler temperatures.  The outlook for Monday is moderate precipitation amounts.

Snowpack Summary

30 to 45 cm of new snow remain unconsolidated below treeline.  Moderate southerly winds loaded northerly aspects during the storm. This snow covered a variety of surfaces including, small surface hoar and sun crust on steep S through W aspects.  Yesterday this interface was not failing in stability tests at treeline in the Hermit basin, SE aspect.

Avalanche Summary

We have observed two moderate natural avalanche cycles involving the storm snow on both Friday and Saturday morning. Many paths along the highway corridor ran size 2-2.5, with a few size 3. Deposits were reaching the end of run outs in some events. We suspect similar avalanches were occurring up all the backcountry drainages.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Monday

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.