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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 2nd, 2014–Mar 3rd, 2014
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: South Columbia.

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Monday

Weather Forecast

Monday: Moderate snowfall / Moderate to strong southerly winds / Freezing level at 1300mTuesday: Moderate snowfall / Moderate to strong southwest winds with extreme gusts / Freezing level at 1300mWednesday: Mix of sun and cloud with a possibility of flurries / Light ridgetop winds / Freezing level at 900m

Avalanche Summary

On Friday a skier remotely triggered a size 2 slab avalanche on a northwest facing alpine slope just north of the region. On Saturday, 2 size 2 skier-triggered avalanches (1 was remotely triggered from 25m) occurred in the Monashees. The February 10th interface is thought to be the culprit in these events. A few remotely triggered size 1 hard wind slabs were also noted on Saturday in exposed lee terrain. They formed in response to strong winds and redistribution of surface snow on Friday night.

Snowpack Summary

A developing storm slab overlies surface hoar in sheltered areas, a sun crust on solar aspects and touchy thin wind slabs in exposed terrain. The big news remains a mix of weak surfaces which were buried on February 10th. This persistent interface lies between 70 and 120cm below the surface, and includes surface hoar, well developed facets and a mix of hard surfaces which remain widespread at all aspects and elevations. Although avalanche activity has generally tapered-off at this interface, large destructive avalanches are still a very real concern with ongoing reports of remote-triggering, "whumpfing" and sudden snowpack test results. For the most part, the mid and lower snowpack are strong and well consolidated.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

A deep and destructive slab overlies a variety of weak layers and is still touchy in some areas. Put the odds in your favour by avoiding steep, unsupported slopes, areas with a thin or variable snowpack, or terrain with a significant overhead hazard.
Avoid areas with overhead hazard.>Avoid convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.>Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried weak layers.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 5

Storm Slabs

New snowfall is forming storm slabs which overlie a variety of potentially weak surfaces. Watch for increased reactivity in wind exposed terrain.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>The recent snow may now be hiding windslabs that were easily visible before the snow fell.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3