Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Freezing levels are uncertain on Wednesday

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY: Mainly sunny and dry with isolated valley cloud dissipating throughout the day. Freezing levels reaching 1500m and light variable winds. THURSDAY: Mainly sunny and dry with isolated valley cloud dissipating throughout the day. A temperature inversion is expected to result in above freezing temperatures well into alpine elevations Winds should remain generally light from the south.

Reports from Sunday include more evidence of natural wind slab avalanches and cornice failures from Saturday, as well as ongoing natural cornice and wind slab activity up to Size 3.5. Human triggering was also reported with skier triggered storm and wind slab avalanches up to Size 1.5 and explosives triggering up to Size 3, a few of which failed on surface hoar down 60-70cm.

10-20cm of new snow on Sunday night buried surface hoar and/or sun crust in most places. Weaknesses exist within 60-90 cm of settled recent storm snow, which is sitting on a crust buried on February 10th. In some areas there is a weak layer of surface hoar at the interface between the storm snow and the crust. The bond between the crust or surface hoar remains suspect. Moderate winds have created areas of wind slab in the lee of west or southwest winds that may be close to a metre deep. Wind slabs in motion may trigger the persistent weak layer on the crust and result in wide propagations and very large avalanches. Surface hoar buried in early January now lies up to 200cm below the surface and has become less of a concern. Possible triggers for this deep and destructive layer include a large cornice fall, strong sunshine, or significant warming.