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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 31st, 2021–Feb 1st, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Weather forecasts are showing uncertainty regarding the amount of new snow we may receive, ranging from 15cm to to 45cm over the next 48hrs.

Expect Hwy 93N closures for avalanche control and heightened avalanche danger if the amounts are significant.

Weather Forecast

Sunday night: Flurries. Accumulation: 11 cm. Low -5 C. Ridge wind south: 15 km/h gusting to 40 km/h.

Monday: Snow. Accumulation: 19 cm. High -2 C. Ridge wind south: 15-35 km/h. Freezing level: 1900 metres.

Tuesday: Flurries. Accumulation: 10 cm. High -4 C. Ridge wind southwest: 15 km/h gusting to 50 km/h. Freezing level: 1600 metres.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 35cm of storm snow could accumulate up to Mon eve. Expect to find new wind slab on lee ridgetop features and below. The new snow will overlie previously wind affected surfaces in non-sheltered areas in the alpine and below as well as widespread surface facets. Strong mid-pack in deeper areas overlies supportive basal layers.

Avalanche Summary

Field team reports no new avalanche activity observed.

Share your trip info at Mountain Information Network .

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Monday

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.