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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 16th, 2026–Jan 17th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

North Bulkley, South Bulkley, Telkwa.

Watch for changing conditions with mild temperatures and sun.

Human triggered avalanches remain possible.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to rapidly fluctuating freezing levels.
  • Uncertainty is due to how quickly the snowpack will recover and gain strength.

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday, several large (size 2-2.5) windslab avalanches where reported as being at least 72 hours old. The wind slabs where naturally triggered during the past storm with a few of them being triggered by cornice failures.

On Monday, a size 3 avalanche was observed, on a lee aspect feature that likely failed during the very warm temperatures. See picture below.

If you head out, please share any photos or observations to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

The snow surface is highly wind-affected in exposed alpine terrain. At treeline and below, the snow surfaces have formed a crust with moist snow below.

The upper and mid snowpack is saturated below 1600 m and with cooling has begun to reconsolidate, forming a surface crust up to 20 cm's thick. Expect this crust to impeded travel and pose additional slip and fall hazards.

A layer of facets is buried around 50 to 100 cm deep and is slowly gaining strength.

The mid and lower snowpack have no layers of concern. Snowpack depths are generally around 150-200 cm deep at treeline.

Weather Summary

Friday Night
Clear skies. 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 3400 m.

Saturday
Sunny. 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 3100 m.

Sunday
Sunny. 10 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 3000 m.

Monday
Sunny. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing level 3200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • The more the snowpack warms up and weakens, the more conservative your terrain selection should be.
  • Avoid steep, sun-exposed slopes when the air temperature is warm or when solar radiation is strong.
  • Make observations and continually assess conditions as you travel.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.