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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 17th, 2020–Dec 18th, 2020

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

New snow and consistent winds are forecast the next few days. Recently some more aggressive ski lines and exposed ice climbs have been getting attention. The mountains are changing quickly so our terrain choices should follow suit. 

Weather Forecast

Snowy and windy the next few days with cool temps.

Friday: Flurries. 8 cm. High -8 °C. Wind SW. 30 gusting to 55 km/h.

Saturday: Flurries. 6 cm. Low -13 °C, High -8 °C. Wind SW: 30 gusting to 65 km/h.

Sunday: Flurries. 10 cm. Low -13 °C, High -7 °C. Wind W 30 km/h gusting to 75 km/h.

Snowpack Summary

Strong SW winds are creating wind slabs in the alpine and open treeline. The mid snowpack is generally supportive with a weaker base consisting of facets and some locations depth hoar. Average depth is 55cm - 150cm depending on region and elevation.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanche observations.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Friday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.