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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 14th, 2026–Jan 15th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Cariboos, South Columbia, Blue River, Clearwater, Esplanade, Jordan, North Monashee, North Selkirk, Dogtooth, West Purcell, Badshot-Battle, Central Selkirk, Goat, Gold, Retallack.

If dry snow exists in the alpine, watch for pockets of wind slab in lee terrain features. Strong northwest winds may drive localized wind slab formation.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern with little change expected.

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, the region saw widespread natural slab avalanche activity up to size 3. This included persistent slabs, wet loose, storm and wind slab avalanche problems at all elevations.

With a cooling and drying trend on Thursday, we expect avalanche activity to taper significantly until the weekend warm up.

Snowpack Summary

A 1 cm thick melt-freeze surface crust will likely exist up to 2400 m on all aspects. With sunny skies, this crust may break down during the day, showing moist snow surfaces, especially on south-facing slopes. In the high alpine, up to 90 cm of recent snow has been transported by strong southwest winds. In areas protected from the wind, a surface hoar layer buried in early January may be found down 100+ cm.

The prominent mid-December crust is now buried around 1.5 m deep, and is present up to 2300 m. Triggering this layer is considered unlikely, except with large loads like a cornice failure or in thin snowpack areas.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.

Thursday
Sunny. 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C. Freezing level 1100 m.

Friday
Sunny. 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level valley bottom.

Saturday
Sunny. 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 2800 m. Strong alpine temperature inversion.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Wind slabs are isolated, but may remain reactive.
  • Triggering deep layers is more likely if the snow surface didn't freeze overnight.
  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.