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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 15th, 2026–Feb 16th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Cariboos, South Columbia, Blue River, Clearwater, Esplanade, Jordan, North Monashee, North Selkirk, West Purcell, Badshot-Battle, Central Selkirk, Goat, Gold.

Several weak layers in the upper snowpack have resulted in widespread recent avalanche activity

Start with small, low-consequence terrain before committing to larger features

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to a highly variable snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

A natural avalanche cycle was observed on Saturday up to size 3. Numerous explosive, skier-triggered and remote-triggered avalanches also occurred in the region, generally in the size 1 to 2 range.

Many of these avalanches failed on, or stepped down to, persistent weak layers. Several also occurred at lower elevations below treeline on relatively benign slopes.

Snowpack Summary

There is a lot of variability in the region, but three prevalent surface hoar layers stand out:

10 to 40 cm of recent storm snow is covering a layer of surface hoar or sun crust buried on Feb 13th. This new weak layer may make storm slabs more reactive and resistant to bonding than usual.

Below that, 20 to 40 cm of older snow is covering a second reactive layer of surface hoar or a crust from Feb 7th.

Lastly, the late January layer of surface hoar/facets/crust is buried 50 to 100+ cm deep.

All of these layers have been reactive in the region recently.

The remaining snowpack has no layers of concern

Weather Summary

Sunday Night

Partly cloudy. 0 to 2 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Monday

Mostly cloudy. 0 to 5 cm of snow. 30 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy. 5 to 15 cm of snow. 20 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy. 5 to 10 cm of snow. 10 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -11 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Remote triggering is a concern; avoid terrain where triggering overhead slopes is possible.
  • Approach steep and open slopes at and below treeline cautiously, as buried surface hoar may exist.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.