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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 14th, 2021–Mar 15th, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos.

A good overnight refreeze Sunday night should really tighten up the snowpack, but watch for lingering wind slabs in the more extreme terrain features Monday.

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to rapidly fluctuating freezing levels.

Weather Forecast

Now that the big warm up has passed we’re moving into a nice diurnal temperature regime with good overnight refreeze.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Freezing level lowering to valley bottom, light to moderate southwest wind, 2 to 5 cm of snow possible.  

MONDAY: Scattered cloud cover at dawn, skies steadily clearing through the day, freezing level rising to about 1500 m, light wind generally out of the southwest, trace of snow possible.

TUESDAY: A few clouds, freezing level rising to about 1500 m, light south wind, no snow expected.

WEDNESDAY: A few clouds, freezing level rising to about 1600 m, moderate south/southwest wind, no snow expected.

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday in the neighbouring North Columbia region there was a pretty spectacular natural cornice failure on the backside of Mt. Albreda that resulted in an avalanche with a crown that is estimated to be 3 to 4 meters in depth.  

No avalanches were reported in this region on Friday. 

Snowpack Summary

5-15 cm of recent convective snow and moderate southwesterly winds have formed fresh wind slabs below alpine ridgetops. Dry snow can be found on north aspects and crusty snow surfaces exist on solar aspects. Large cornices loom over alpine ridgetops.

A persistent weak layer made up of surface hoar at treeline elevations and a crust with facets in the alpine on solar aspects can be found down 50-150 cm in some parts of the region. No recent avalanches have been reported on these layers. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for wind-loaded pockets especially around ridgecrest and in extreme terrain.
  • When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.