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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 31st, 2022–Jan 1st, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Coastal, Kitimat, Nass, Rupert, Seven Sisters, Shames, Stewart, Howson, Ningunsaw, Ningunsaw.

Use extra caution at treeline and below where persistent weak layers have been most reactive. Be aware that wind slabs could step down to these layers.

Natural avalanche activity has tapered off but human triggering of persistent slabs is still possible.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Over the past few days several avalanches have been triggered at treeline and below on the layer of facets formed during the recent period of arctic air. Triggers have included vehicle remotes, skier remotes, naturals and explosives. These avalanches have generally ranged in size from 1 to 2.

Snowpack Summary

wind slabs could be found on all aspects in the alpine and treeline, below treeline cross loading will likely be found in all coastal inlets due to recent outflow. At treeline a new surface hoar layer from late December is just below the surface. A new crust exists on or near the surface below 1000m.

40 to 70cm overlies a layer formed during the previous period of arctic air. In the alpine this layer is generally facetsbut surface hoar could be found. At treeline it is more likely to find surface hoar at this interface in sheltered terrain.

A layer of surface hoar and facets from early December can be found down 70 to 100cm. recently this layer has not been reactive but still produces sudden results in snowpack tests.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with flurries bringing up to 5cm of new snow. Light to moderate westerly winds and a low of -4 at 1500m.

Sunday

Cloudy with trace amounts of new snow expected. Moderate to strong south winds. Possible temperature inversion with a high of -1 at 1500m and -6 at 700m.

Monday

Stormy with 5 to 15cm of new snow expected. Moderate southerly winds and a high of -2 at 1500m.

Tuesday

Cloudy with a few centimeters of new snow expected. Light easterly winds and a high of -4 at 1500m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
  • Keep in mind that human triggering potential persists as natural avalanching tapers off.
  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • Use ridges or ribs to avoid areas of wind loaded snow.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.