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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 15th, 2025–Jan 16th, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

East Kakwa, Tumbler.

A recent avalanche in the Tumbler area gives a precise idea of the type of terrain and snowpack to treat with extra caution under the current conditions.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A size 2 slab avalanche was reported from the Tom's Lake area on Sunday. Check out the MIN report here. The avalanche appears to have been a wind slab that failed on weak, faceted snow in the mid or lower snowpack. It occurred on a southwest aspect (notable!) and is a good reminder that even old wind loaded pockets in otherwise thin, rocky snowpack areas should be treated with caution.

Keep posting your observations to the Mountain Information Network!

Snowpack Summary

Light new snow spilling over from a storm in the west Rockies will do little to bury heavily wind-affected surfaces in exposed areas. Limited soft snow may be found on the surface in more sheltered areas above 1500 m. Below this elevation and on solar aspects, warm temperatures and sunshine should have recently formed a surface crust.

The snowpack in this region is otherwise shallow with the middle and base mostly made up of weak, sugary facet crystals along with a crust at the base of the snowpack.

Weather Summary

Wednesday night

Cloudy with isolated wet flurries. 50 to 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline Freezing level peaking at 2000 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with scattered flurries and less than 5 cm of new snow. 30 - 60 km/h west ridgetop wind, easing. Treeline temperature falling from 0 °C to -5 °C over the day as freezing level returns to valley bottom.

Friday

Mainly cloudy with lingering flurries and less than 5 cm of new snow, including overnight amounts. 10 - 30 km/h north ridgetop winds. Treeline temperature falling to -15 °C.

Saturday

Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries. 20 to 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -13 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, or recent avalanches.
  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rocky outcrops, and steep terrain where triggering is most likely.
  • Watch for areas of hard wind slab on alpine features.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.