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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 21st, 2018–Feb 22nd, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Good skiing can be found in sheltered places.  Wind slabs are still a concern for human triggering in the alpine.

Confidence

-

Weather Forecast

Thursday is expected to bring sun, cloud and isolated flurries. Winds are forecast to be light and alpine temperatures will reach -17c.

Avalanche Summary

No observations were made today.

Snowpack Summary

In general, the upper half of the snowpack is not showing any weaknesses and is bonding well. The exception is in the alpine where the wind slabs are 20-40cm thick and are still possible to trigger. The biggest concern is for the December 15 facets which is showing a lower probability of triggering but with a high consequence if an avalanche occurs. Be careful of thinner areas where triggering the deeper layer is more likely.  The sun is starting to have some punch to it, so be aware of steep solar aspects. .

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.