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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 17th, 2018–Mar 18th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

Easterly flow may deliver up to 5 mm of rain/snow on Sunday which is not expected to change the hazard. Low danger does not mean no danger. Stubborn old wind slabs, large cornices and the daily cycle of loose wet avalanches demand our respect.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Sunday looks a bit unsettled with isolated alpine rain showers/flurries. The weather pattern is pretty benign as we enter the work week with scattered cloud cover, seasonal freezing levels and no significant precipitation expected. SUNDAY: Overcast, freezing level beginning at 800 m rising to 1800 m throughout the day, light variable wind, 1 to 5 mm of precipitation possible. MONDAY: Broken cloud cover, freezing level beginning at 500 m, rising to 1600 m throughout the day, light west/southwest wind, no significant precipitation expected. TUESDAY: Scattered cloud cover, freezing level beginning at 500 m, rising to 1700 m throughout the day, light west/southwest wind, no significant precipitation expected.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche activity on Friday was limited to snowballing on solar aspects.On Thursday small loose avalanches were reported on steep features as the new snow ran on a crust. A few small skier triggered wind slabs were also reported from east facing alpine terrain.

Snowpack Summary

A mix of light rain and wet flurries brought about 7 cm of new snow to the region on Wednesday. Where it arrived as snow, this precipitation buried a moist crust on solar aspects and a new layer of surface hoar on sheltered north aspects.Snow that fell March 8th and 9th was redistributed by predominantly west and southwest wind, forming wind slabs at high elevations. On north aspects these older slabs may be sitting on a layer of surface hoar about 25-40 cm below the surface.A mix of weak layers exists 50-100 cm below the surface, including small surface hoar on shady aspects and a crust on solar aspects. These layers are expected to have gained strength from recent cycles of warming and cooling. Like other deeper weak layers that formed in January and December, they are considered dormant at this time. These deeper layers include several surface hoar and facet layers 1 to 2 m below the surface and a crust/ facet interface near the base of the snowpack.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.