Avalanche forecast

Jasper

May 2 – 3, 2019Parks Canada
View on map
Archived · expired 7 years ago

Avalanche danger

Sat
Sun
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Good skiing can be found in sheltered cooler locations. Monitor the increasing wind effects Friday afternoon yet forecasters don't expect it to be enough to change the overall hazard outlook.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1–3

    The two main concerns for persistent slabs are the recent slabs from Northerly winds particularly where they overly a slippery crust on steep solar terrain. Second concern is a midpack facet weakness in sheltered upper treeline and alpine features.

  • Loose Dry

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Steep terrain with recent low density snow has the potential to release and entrain volume particularly when sun, increased new snow load, or rain at lower elevations. 

Weather Forecast

The next three days will be a mix of clouds, flurries, maybe 5-10cm of snow, generally light winds, and freezing level hovering around 2000m with little overnight freeze. Winds may increase to strong Westerly in the alpine on Friday but will quickly subside later in the day.

Snowpack Summary

10cm-25cm low density dry snow (elevation dependant) covers widespread wind effect from previous N winds, overlying crusts and facets in upper snowpack. The crusts are bridging on solar aspects. Occasional whumpfing at upper TL and in the ALP. Snowpack structure is generally faceted on polar aspects and weak in shallow areas.

Avalanche Summary

A team in the Columbia Icefields on Wednesday did not observe any new avalanches. To the South of our region (Bow Summit), 2 large (size 2 - 2.5) persistent slabs were remotely triggered on alpine SW aspects Tuesday.

Confidence

Wind effect is extremely variable on Friday

Regions covered