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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 29th, 2018–Nov 30th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Extra caution is advised with the surface hoar weak layer in the snowpack. Stick to well supported terrain.

Weather Forecast

A mix of sun and cloud with light winds and alpine high temperature of -6C. Freezing levels are forecast to rise to 1300m. Cloudy with sunny periods for Friday with light winds and similar freezing level.

Snowpack Summary

40cm of snow covers a surface hoar or suncrust layer at TL & sheltered ALP locations. Wind transported snow yesterday overloading the weak layer and triggering soft slabs on the surface hoar. Moist slabby snow below 1600m. October crust near ground may be poorly bonded on some high elevation north aspects. Snow depth 74cm at 1300m &150cm at 2000m.

Avalanche Summary

One size 2.5 slab avalanche off of the SE aspect of Balu Peak. Possibly initiated by point release pulled a storm slab at the bottom of the rock face and ran 1/3 of the way down the bowl. A dozen slides out of steep rocky terrain recorded in the highway corridor east of the pass up to size 3.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.