Avalanche Forecast

Moderate -

Friday night: Flurries bringing up to 5 cm of new snow. Light to moderate south winds. Saturday: Cloudy with continuing flurries bringing 5-10 cm of new snow. Light to moderate southwest winds. Freezing level to 1700 metres with alpine temperatures of -4.Sunday: Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries bringing up to 5 cm of new snow. Light west winds. Freezing level to 1400 metres with alpine temperatures of -6.Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. Light northwest winds. Freezing level to 1500 metres with alpine temperatures of -5.

Reports from Thursday include numerous observations of storm slabs releasing naturally from Size 1-2.5 throughout the region. Natural triggers (including natural cornice fall) featured prominently in reports. Crown fractures generally ranged from 30-40 cm and northeast to northwest aspects were the most active.On Wednesday, numerous storm slabs up to size 2.5 were observed. Several size 1 storm and wind slabs were also reactive to rider triggering.

30-50 cm of recent storm snow has accumulated at upper elevations. The new snow is dry up high and moist from 1800 m and below. This now brings 80-120 cm of accumulated snow which overlies a rain crust below 2000 m or a sun crust on solar aspects at higher elevations. New wind slabs are developing on leeward slopes and behind terrain features and large, fragile cornices exist along ridgelines. At higher elevations, the February weak layers are down 150-190 cm and woke up during last week's storm with many avalanches stepping down to them. The deep mid-December facet layer and November rain crust both still linger near the bottom of the snowpack and a few avalanches and cornice falls have also stepped down to these layers last week resulting in some very large full depth avalanches. These layers remain a real concern while touchier storm slabs and cornices continue to present the risk of acting as a trigger for deeper weaknesses.