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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 8th, 2016–Apr 11th, 2016
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: Waterton Lakes.

Anyone planning to travel in avalanche terrain on Saturday would be best to start and finish very early, to avoid rapidly increasing hazard as the day heats up. Sunday/Monday offer more reasonable temperatures and stronger morning re-freezes.

Weather Forecast

Freezing Levels are forecast to remain in the alpine on Friday night, though mostly clear skies may allow a light refreeze of the snow surface. Expect sun Saturday morning, before moderate NE winds bring increasing cloud. Light showers turn to flurries early Sunday, as freezing levels drop to 1500m. Sun and rising freezing levels late Sun/Mon.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is isothermal in many areas, but will cool on Saturday night.  Multiple buried crusts, although soft/wet, are keeping the snowpack supportive through the cooler parts of the day.  The upper snowpack will be strong while frozen, but increasingly weak if temperatures rise above freezing, or during periods of strong sun.

Avalanche Summary

A few small (Size 1) Loose Wet avalanches were observed on Friday from steep terrain.  New glide cracks are appearing almost daily, as the whole snowpack slumps downhill on certain slopes, though no glide avalanche releases have been noted yet.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Don't expose yourself to steep slopes on Saturday or Monday, unless there is a solid surface freeze.  If you're sinking in to boot top, it's past time to go home!
Minimize exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, especially in the heat of the dayUse extra caution on solar slopes, or if the snow is moist or wet.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Wet Slabs

Glide cracks have been developing quickly on many slopes.  Avoid entering or travelling anywhere below these slopes.  Glide avalanche timing is difficult to predict. Glide avalanches are always large and destructive
Minimize overhead exposure; avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of strong sun.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 2 - 4