Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 24th, 2019 4:16PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jsmith, Avalanche Canada

A persistent weak layer that has been most pronounced at lower elevations has created a low likelihood, high consequence scenario that requires discipline and careful terrain selection to manage effectively.

Summary

Confidence

High - The weather pattern is stable

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear / Light, northeasterly winds / Alpine low -15.MONDAY: Sunny / Light, northeasterly winds / Alpine high -12.TUESDAY: Sunny / Light, northeasterly winds / Alpine high -14.WEDNESDAY: Sunny / Light, northeasterly winds / Alpine high -6.

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, numerous natural and human triggered size 1.5 avalanches were reported on south aspects in the alpine and at treeline elevations. They failed on facets sitting on a recently buried sun crust.Several size 2, explosive triggered, persistent slab avalanches were reported in low elevation cut blocks south of Revelstoke on Saturday. Persistent slab avalanche activity on the mid-January weak layer has slowed down but not stopped, with human triggered avalanches on this layer being reported on a regular basis. Check out the great photos from a recent MIN. Take note of the low angle terrain and the light load of a single ski track that triggered this avalanche.

Snowpack Summary

5-15 cm of recent snow has been redistributed by moderate southwest winds, which is sitting on older wind slabs on a variety aspects. This brings total recent snowfall amounts to 20-60 cm which overlies a weak layer of surface hoar (feathery crystals) and crust that was buried in early February.Two additional weak layers of surface hoar have produced large avalanches in the region over the past month. A layer buried at the end of January is around 40 cm deep and a layer buried mid-January is between 60 and 90 cm deep. The mid-January layer may also be associated with a crust on southerly aspects. These layers are most prominent at treeline and below. The remainder of the snowpack is generally considered to be strong in most areas. However, isolated failures have occurred near the base of the snowpack in this region, or in neighboring regions, resulting in large, destructive avalanches. These avalanches have primarily been in steep, rocky, high alpine areas with a shallow snowpack.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
It remains possible to trigger an avalanche on one of the surface hoar or crust layers buried 30 to 80 cm deep.
Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, and shooting cracks.Avoid steep, open and/or sparsely treed slopes at and below treeline.Be aware of the potential for wide propagation.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Buried wind slabs that are sitting on facets (weak, sugary snow) in rocky alpine terrain may remain reactive to human triggers longer than is typical for this region.
Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Steep and rocky terrain are likely places to trigger buried wind slabs.Avoid slopes that sound hollow or “drum-like”.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 25th, 2019 2:00PM