Avalog Join
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 4th, 2021–Dec 5th, 2021
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: North Columbia.

Isolated wind slabs may lurk around ridges and steep alpine features. Be mindful that travel may be the most hazardous part of your day.

Confidence

Moderate - Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern with little change expected.

Weather Forecast

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with isolated flurries. West-northwest wind, 20-30 km/hr. Alpine low temperature -18 C. Freezing level valley bottom. 

SUNDAY: Partly cloudy and isolated flurries transitioning to sunny breaks. Decreasing northwest-west wind, 10-25 km/hr. Alpine high temperature -10 C. Freezing level valley bottom. 

MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Light and variable wind 10-15 km/hr. Alpine high temperature -10 C. Freezing level valley bottom. 

TUESDAY: Sunny with increasing cloud cover. Southwest wind 10-15 km/hr. Alpine high temperature -8 C. Freezing level valley bottom. 

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday, Dec 2, a couple of cornice triggered avalanches were reported in the north end of the forecast region. A very large (size 3) deep persistent avalanche failed on a north aspect in steep, rocky alpine terrain on a crust from the start of November. The other cornice failure triggered a large (size 2.5) storm slab with an 80 cm crown on a steep southeast aspect in the alpine.

The recent series of atmospheric rivers onslaught brought heavy precipitation, strong winds, and warm weather. Widespread and very large natural avalanche cycles (up to size 3) were observed following each wave of storms, with avalanches frequently running full path to valley bottom. No new natural avalanches have been reported since Dec 1. Hard frozen debris will likely be found in the runout of most avalanche paths.

Snowpack Summary

10-30 cm fresh snow covers a supportive crust which has been found as high as 2400 m. Winds have exposed the crust in open areas and built wind slabs in leeward terrain, loose snow persists in protected areas and depressions. 

Below the surface crust, the snowpack is generally well-consolidated with a few early season crusts. The mid-November crust is found down 70-150 cm with faceting below the crust. This feature disappears above 1900 m.

Snowpack depths range from 100-250 cm at treeline and above. Below 1600m the snowpack decreases rapidly.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

10-40 cm low density snow overlies a crust. Be wary of reactive pockets where wind has redistributed snow and forms a slab.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5