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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 11th, 2020–Feb 12th, 2020
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: North Columbia.

Little precipitation along with recent winds blowing from a variety of directions will keep wind slabs at upper elevations the main concern.

Confidence

High - Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern with little change expected.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday Night: Cloudy with clear periods. Light to moderate northwest wind. Alpine high temperatures around -9.

Wednesday: Cloudy with sunny breaks. Light west wind. Alpine high temperatures around -8. Freezing level 800 m.

Thursday: Flurries, accumulation 5-10 cm. Light to moderate southwest wind. Alpine high temperatures around -7. Freezing level 800 m

Friday: Scattered flurries. Moderate west wind. Alpine high temperatures around -9. Freezing level 700 m

Avalanche Summary

Reports from Saturday, Sunday and Monday show numerous loose dry avalanche size 1-1.5 running in steep terrain in the alpine and at tree line. There were also a few skier and rider along with naturally triggered storm and wind slab avalanches size 1-1.5 on a variety of aspects in the alpine and at treeline.

Snowpack Summary

30-60 cm of snow accumulating through the last week now overlies older wind-affected snow at high elevations, with about half this amount instead overlying a widespread melt-freeze or rain crust to a variable upper extent of 1700-2400 metres in elevation. Moderate to strong winds have redistributed this new snow onto a variety of aspects.

The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled and strong. Although isolated, there are two deeper weak layers that may persist in some areas. A weak layer of surface hoar buried 90 to 170 cm deep may be found across the north of the region while a facet/crust layer from November may be found near the ground in shallower snowpack areas.

Terrain and Travel

  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features, especially near ridge crests, roll-overs and in steep terrain.
  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.
  • Use extra caution around cornices: they are large, fragile, and can trigger slabs on slopes below.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recent snowfall combined with elevated and shifting winds built wind slabs. Be mindful of areas where wind slab and cornice distribution overlap.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2