Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 9th, 2020 4:13PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Parks Canada Conrad Janzen, Parks Canada

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New wind slabs and a continued concern for occasional avalanches on the deep persistent layer, especially in thin snow pack areas, means there is still a lot of uncertainty with the snowpack. Enjoy the new snow in lower consequence, sheltered areas!

Summary

Weather Forecast

Clearing skies, cool temperatures and light winds are forecast on Monday with treeline temperatures in the -14 to -16 C range for much of the day. Tuesday the winds increase to strong again and light flurries are forecast with accumulations in the 5-10 cm range.

Snowpack Summary

15-20 cm of snow in the past several days. Strong winds on Sunday created fresh wind slabs at treeline and in the alpine. In thin snowpack areas a dense mid pack sits over basal weak layers of facets and depth hoar. Deep snowpack areas (>150 cm) have a dense base with few weaknesses. A buried rain crust from February 1st is present up to 1850 m.

Avalanche Summary

Ski cutting and explosive work at the ski hills on Sunday produced a few small wind slabs avalanches and cornice failures. No new natural avalanches observed or reported. Continued sporadic natural, skier and explosive triggered avalanches up to size 3 on the deep persistent facets and depth hoar have occurred in the past week.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Tuesday

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Strong winds on Sunday created new wind slabs at treeline and in the alpine. These could be triggered by skiers or climbers. Choose routes or ski lines where you can avoid wind slabs until they have a chance to bond.

  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

High consequence avalanches on the facets and depth hoar at the base of the snowpack remain possible. Large triggers such as cornices and wind slabs, or human triggering in thin snowpack areas are most likely to result in avalanches on this layer.

  • Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices which could trigger the deep persistent slab.
  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Valid until: Feb 10th, 2020 4:00PM