Conditions can change quickly this time of year; rain or sun will rapidly increase danger. Minimize your exposure to steep avalanche paths being loaded by westerly winds, and slopes threatened by cornices and glide cracks.
Summary
Weather Forecast
Today should be mainly cloudy with flurries, with alpine temps of 0 and moderate to strong west winds. Possible sunny periods this afternoon may further destabilize the snowpack. On Saturday, freezing levels are forecast to rise to 2300m with increasing cloud and wet flurries. On Sunday expect scattered flurries, sunny breaks and strong west winds.
Snowpack Summary
A mix of rain and snow fell to 1900m, with temps dropping just to zero, giving no overnight freeze. 10cm of moist HN at treeline (deeper in lee alpine features) is bonding poorly to a crust below. The snowpack on solar aspects is warming to near isothermal levels. There are a series of crusts in the top meter, and the Feb 10 SH is down 1.25m.
Avalanche Summary
Avalanche activity began mid day yesterday. Backcountry skiers reported hearing and observing numerous natural avalanches up the Connaught drainage. Cheops N3 and N4 (STS) were size 2.5, with debris 1.5m deep at valley bottom. Along the highway, size 2.5 loose moist avalanches ran onto the fans of steep paths and one glide crack released a size 2.
Confidence
Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain