Avalanche Forecast

Moderate

On Monday, near Golden, explosives avalanche control produced a few large (size 2) storm or wind slab avalanches, and one very large (size 3) deep persistent slab avalanche. These avalanches occurred on rocky or treed ridge features.

West of Invermere, a large (size 2.5), naturally triggered loose wet avalanche was reported that likely started just below treeline, and buried a road cut 2-3 m deep.

On Thursday, north of Golden, just outside of the forecast area, a large (size 2), rider triggered, deep persistent slab avalanche was reported on a northwest aspect in the alpine. The avalanche started 50 m above the riders, and 2 sympathetic avalanches were observed on the adjacent slope. See the excellent Mountain Information Network (MIN) post here for more information, including photos, and reflections on a close call.

15-30 cm of recent snow in the alpine covers settling, dry snow on shaded (northerly) aspects, and a frozen crust on solar aspects. At treeline, the recent snow is likely to be denser, shallower, and moist or refrozen.

Below treeline, rain soaked surfaces are starting to freeze as temperatures drop, and a lot more dirt is showing at low elevations.

The mid snowpack is generally settled and strong, although west of Invermere, some professional operations are still monitoring a layer of weak, feathery surface hoar crystals that was buried in mid January.

The lower snowpack includes a widespread layer of large, weak facets and/or depth hoar crystals. This weak layer has been responsible for several very large and destructive avalanches throughout the season, including one last Thursday.

Snow/Rain amounts for the ongoing storm are uncertain. Weather models are not agreeing on how widespread or intense the precipitation will be, and exact freezing levels will be hard to forecast as they drop. Prepare to continually evaluate the conditions, and change plans as necessary.

Monday Night

Cloudy. 5-10 cm of snow expected in the alpine. Snow/rain line drops to 1000 m further north, 1700 m further south. Light northwest or southwest ridgetop wind, trending to moderate at high elevations.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy, possibly sunny by the afternoon. 2-5 cm of snow expected as the snow line drops back to valley bottom. Treeline low around -3°C. Light southwest ridgetop wind, trending to strong at high elevations.

Wednesday

Partly cloudy. Possible trace of snow/rain expected. Freezing level at valley bottom overnight, rising to around 1700m. Light northwest ridgetop wind.

Thursday

Mostly sunny. No new snow/rain expected. Freezing level at valley bottom overnight, rising to around 1700m. Light variable ridgetop wind.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

• Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
• Be alert to conditions that change throughout the day.
• Be alert to conditions that change with aspect and elevation.
• Avoid thin areas like rock outcroppings where you're most likely to trigger avalanches failing on deep weak layers.